第34卷第1期 2017年1月
土木工程与管理学报 Journal of Civil Engineering and Management
Vol. 34 No. 1 Jan.2017
合同能源管理模式下公共建筑能耗监测风险
万亚辉1，汪夏明1,2，刘晓丹3，马世军2（1.广西大学土木建筑工程学院，广西南宁530004； 2.广西壮族自治区住房和城乡建设厅，广西南宁530028； 3.西安建筑科技大学管理学院，陕西西安710055）
摘要：合同能源管理模式（EMC)中节能服务公司（ESCO)所承担风险的动态性、复杂性严重阻碍其在公共建筑能耗监测领域的应用进程。为此，本文运用系统动力学方法，从节能服务公司角度，在分析公共建筑能耗监
并运用VensimPLE软件对该模型进行仿真模拟，结果表明：当前合同能源管理模式中节能服务公司实施公共建筑能耗监测项目所面临的主要风险是成本风险和市场风险，运营管理风险次之，技术风险相对较小。最后基于上述结论，分别从政府和节能服务公司的角度，提出了相关对策和建议，以期推动合同能源管理模式在公共建筑能耗监测领域的应用。
关键词：合同能源管理；公共建筑；能耗监测；系统动力学；风险管理
中图分类号：TU242；F206
文章编号：2095-0985（2017)01-0122-07
文献标识码：A
Risk of Public Building Energy Consumption Monitoring
Based on Energy Management Contracting
WAN Ya-hui', WANG Xia-ming,2, LIU Xiao-dan', MA Shi-jun?
(1. College of Civil Engineering and Architature, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China ; 2. Department of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region,
Nanning 530028, China; 3. School of Management, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology
Xi'an710055,China）
Abstract: The dynamism and complexity of the risk of Energy Management Company (EMC) in energy service company (ESCO) is a serious impediment to its application in the field of public building energy consumption monitoring. From the view of ESCO, this paper analyzes the causal feedback relations of risk system and establishes the risk system model about the energy consumption monitoring of public building based on the concept of EMC, using method of system dynamics and Vensim PLE to simulate the mold. The results show that the main risk which the ESCO faced in the energy consumption monitoring project of public building is the cost risk and market risk , the second risk is the operational risk management, and the technical risk is relatively small. Finally, based on the above conclusion, we puts forward the related countermeasure and the suggestion from the view of the government and ESCO, so that we can push the application process of contract energy management mode in the field of public building energy consumption monitoring.
Key words: EMC; public buildings; monitoring of energy consumption; system dynamics; risk
management
收稿日期：2016-03-12修回日期：2016-09-01
作者简介：万亚辉（1989-），男，河南周口人，硕士研究生，研究方向为土木工程管理（Email：1156206929@qq-com）
通讯作者：汪夏明（1964-），男，广东电白人，教投级高工，硕士，研究方向为土木工程管理（Email：wangxming0771@163.com）
基金项目：广西防灾减灾与工程安全重点实验室系统性研究课题（2014Z0X02）；广西大学科研基金项目（XBZ030060）；陕西省建设
厅科落发展计划项目（2015422）万方数据