第38卷第3期 2016年6月
土木建筑与环境工程
Journal of Civil,Architectural &.Environmental Engineering
do1:10.11835/i.issn. 16744764.2016.03. 010
Vol.38 No.3 Jun.2016
回品
基于AHP法的大口径PCCP管道断丝安全
风险管理骆建军1，姚宣德2
（1.北京交通大学隧道及地下工程教育部工程研究中心，北京100044；
2.北京市水利规划设计研完院，北京，100048）
可满湿
摘要：如何有效地对大口径PCCP管道断丝后管道结构的安全进行合理地评价，以使采取积极有效的维修措施，是减少南水北调大口径PCCP管道运营期间断丝安全风险的有效途径。提出利用
径PCCP管道断丝的各种可能因素进行专家打分，同时，通过数值模拟计算，建立PCCP管道安全失效的判断准则及判断标准，实现大口径PCCP管道安全风险评价的定量化。在此基础上，开发出一款专门针对南水北调中线PCCP管道工程安全运行风险实时监测的管理软件。该软件系统采用自动化实时监测技术和基于Web-GIS的风险管理系统。该系统能完成监测数据的实时采集、数据
档案的电子化管理以及安全风险的动态评估与预警预报。关键词：AHP；大口径PCCP；管道；断丝；安全风险管理
中图分类号：TV312
文章编号：1674-4764(2016)03-0065-08
文献标志码：A
LargediameterPCCPpipelinebrokenwiressafetyrisk
managementbasedonAPHmethod
Luo Jianjun',Yao Xuande?
(1. Tunnel and Underground Engineering Research Center of Ministry of Education, Beijing Jiao-tong University,
Beijing 100044, P. R. China; 2. Beijing Institute of Water, Beijing 100048, P. R. China)
Abstract:Effectively evaluating the safety on the structure of large diameter PCCP pipeline broken wires and taking effective measures to repair are the ways to reduce the safety risk of broken wires during South to North Water Diversion Project large diameter PCCP pipeline operation. Based on the method of analytic hierarchy process, the hierarchy analysis mathematical evaluation model is established. The possible factors of the influences of various of South to North Water Diversion Project of underground large diameter PCCP pipe broken wires are scored by experts. At the same time, the PCCP pipeline safety failure judgment criterion and the judgment standard are established through the numerical simulation. The quantification of safety risk assessment of large diameter PCCP pipe is realized. A specific PCCP North South Pipeline
收稿日期：2015-08-16
基金项目：“十一五"国家科技支撑计划（2006BAB04A04）
作者简介：骆建军（1971-），男，博士，副教授，主要从事隧道及地下工程研究，（E-mail）j-luo@126.com。 Received: 2015-08-16
Foundation item: The National Key Technology Research and Development Program During the"1lth 5-Year Plan" ( No.
2006BAB04A04)
Author brief: Luo Jianjun( 1971-) , PhD, associate professor, main research interests : tunnel and underground engineering,
(E-mail) j_luo@126. com.