第34卷第1期 2017年1月
土木工程与管理学报 Journal of Civil Engineering and Management
既有公共建筑碳减排激励政策影响
郑生钦1，司红运'，姜永生1，殷子奇2
Vol. 34 No. 1 Jan.2017
（1.山东建筑大学管理工程学院，山东济南250101；2.山东省实验中学，山东济南250001）
摘要：高能耗、高排放和产权单一的特征决定了公共建筑碳减排的巨大潜力和操作可行，选择其为试点对象推行碳排放权交易机制可以更高效地促进我国低碳城市的发展。文章从经济治理的角度提出既有公建碳排放权交易机制，采用系统动力学方法建立既有公共建筑碳减排激励政策模型，并结合算例对碳排放权交易机制下的碳排放量与碳交易量进行演化仿真。研究结果表明：文章提出的碳交易机制能够有效促进公共建筑碳减排；随着碳减排激励强度的增加，碳排放量、碳交易量和碳负债会逐渐降低并最终稳定在某一水平；绩效补贴与基
关键词：既有公共建筑；碳排放权交易；激励；系统动力学；仿真
中图分类号：F205
文献标识码：A
文章编号：2095-0985(2017)01-0038-06
Policy Impact of Carbon Reduction Incentives for Existing Public Buildings
ZHENG Sheng-qin'，SI Hong-yun'，JIANG Yong-sheng'，YIN Zi-qi
(1. School of Management and Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan 250101, China;
2.Shangdong Experimental High School,Jinan 250001,China)
Abstract: Public buildings with high energy consumption, high emission and a single property determines the characteristics of such enormous potential to reduce carbon emissions and building a viable operation, choose their implementation of carbon emissions trading scheme as a pilot objects can be more efficient in promoting the development of low-carbon city. This paper presents the existing public buildings carbon emissions trading schemes from the perspective of economic governance. The system dynamics method is used to establish the carbon emission reduction incentive policy model of public buildings, and to simulate the carbon emissions and carbon trading volume under the carbon emission trading mechanism. The results show that: the carbon trading mechanism can effectively promote public buildings carbon reduction; with increasing excitation intensity of carbon emissions, carbon emissions, carbon trading and carbon debt will gradually decrease and eventually stabilize at a certain level; the basic performance of two kinds of subsidies subsidies and incentives, the former reduction in return rate, transaction rate and enhance the owners of debt rate significantly greater than the latter.
Key words: existing public building; carbon emission trading; incentive; system dynamics:
simulation
2009年已成为全球最大的能源消费和二氧化碳
既有公共建筑碳排放权交易的研究进展
按照国际能源署世界能源数据统计，我国在收稿日期：2016-10-21修回日期：2016-12-05
排放国家，且能源需求量仍在高速增长。在此背景下，我国政府积极承担碳减排任务，在哥本哈根世界气候大会中提出“到2020年单位国内生产总值二氧化碳排放比2005年下降40%~45%”
作者简介：郑生钦（1963-），男，山东诸城人，副教授，博士，研究方向为项目管理（Email：hshqin@163.com）基金项另据然科学基金（71403150）