2017年第2期（总第230期）
doi:10. 3969/j. issn. 1009 3230. 2017.02. 001
应用能源技术
基于博奔视角的能源问题分析与决策
邓冬冬，任洪波，吴琼，刘家明
（上海电力学院能源与机械工程学院，上海200090）
摘要：为全面把握博弃论在能源领域的研究与应用现状，从而指导科学的能源问题决策，从宏观能源战略、中观能源市场和微观能源系统三个层面深入析了博弃论对能源问题分析与决策的适用性。在此基础上，针对各层面能源间题的典型特征，全面梳理了国内外应用博奔论分析相应能源问题的现状。分析结果表明，博率论在宏观能源战略分析领域大多立足于定性的理论分析；在中观电力市场和电力系统领域应用最为广泛；在微观能源系统领域的应用还处于起步阶段，但随着能源互联网理念的深入推进，有望发挥着越来越重要的作用。
关键词：博奔论；能源问题；电力市场；分布式能源
中图分类号：TK01+8
文献标志码：A
文章编号：1009-3230(2017)02000106
Analysis and Decision of Energy Issues Based on Game Theory
DENG Dong-dong,REN Hongbo,WU Qiong,LIU Jiaming
(College of Energy and Mechanical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power,
Shanghai 200090,China)
Abstract: To understand the research status of game theory in the energy filed, so as to assist the scientific decision making of energy issues, the applicability of game theory has been analyzed from three levels, namely, macro energy strategy, meso energy market and micro energy system. In addition, according to the features of the energy issues in different levels, the current status of energy related research based on game theory has been teased. According to the analysis results, as to the analysis of macro energy strategy, the game theory has been employed for qualitative analysis; it is widely used for the analysis of electricity market and electricity system; while it is still in primary stage in the analysis of micro energy system. However, along with the penetration of energy internet concept, game theory is expected to be paid more and more attention especially for the end - user sector.
Key words: Game theory; Energy issue; Electricity market; Distributed energy resource
0引言
能源是人类赖以生存和发展的基础，是国民经济的命脉。提高能源利用效率、削减能源使用成本、降低环境污染排放，已成为解决人类社会发展过程中所面临的能源、经济、环境“三难困境”
收稿日期：2016-1210修订日期：201701-15 基金项目：国家自然科学基金项目（(71403162）
作者简介：邓冬冬（1991-），女，硕士研究生，从事区域能源
系统规划与决策研究。
万方数据
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的必然选择)。然而，由于能源间题固有的复杂性，破解上述困境很难一而就。其中，最为关键的难点在于能源问题是一个涉及众多利益相关者的复杂的、多元的、跨领域、的系统性科学间题，有必要在理顺能源与经济、环境、社会、政治等各环节关系的基础上，协调与缓和国家间、地区间、用户间能源供需矛盾，确立面向可持续发展的能源供求生态体系。